I have long revered James Carville’s trenchant mind, especially the pithy “The economy, stupid” quip he espoused as an advisor to then-Governor Bill Clinton. This clear-cut and to-the-point insight focused 1992 political talking points that helped Clinton win the presidential election. Of course, it is only in my reading of The Economic Consequences of the Peace (1919) by economist John Maynard Keynes that I realized he understood the interconnectedness of economic prosperity and political stability long before Carville. However, an exclusively economic perspective is not enough for today’s politics. It is lacking and does not fully explain the political events of the day — e.g., the accelerating spread of anti-abortion and anti-LGBTQ legislation across a dozen states. To suggest that culture war is the missing component is no tremendous intellectual accomplishment; RepubliKKKlans have made it a prominent and central political element for decades. Perhaps of more interest is the interaction of economic and cultural stresses. Therein lies the true sphinx to understanding.
I shall not endeavor a complete analysis here; that I will leave to a Political Philosophy De Novo. But I will begin some ad hoc ruminations on the matter. I wonder if the two are equal. Do matters of the economy press on voters’ minds more than those of culture, or is it vice versa? Maybe voters are ambivalent between the two. Perhaps when one issue is foremost, the other is forgotten. Or, perhaps, when one rises to a level of ire, then the other becomes a factor of rage as well. That is to say, one re-enforces the other; they work synergistically. Undoubtedly, there are well-established and enlightened philosophies with which I must re-familiarize myself that speak to these interplaying factors. Still, for now, I will attack the analysis from my typical jaundiced view of stupid America.
Consequently, economic and cultural notions can be reduced to two emotions: fear and hate. Indeed, I am employing reductionism, and it is imperfect. While each emotion can be ascribed as a reaction to either the economy or the culture war, in whole or part, for my purposes, I will associate economic agita primarily with fear and the culture war primarily with hate. Again, I make these designations without much evidence. There is no theoretical underpinning, just my intuition. I could develop a logic, but I chose not to here. So, if the economy is to fear what the culture war is to hate, then understanding what emotion animates which political party becomes formulaic and explains certain political antics. In short, hate agitates RepubliKKKlans to the polls, and fear stirs dumbass Democrats to complain about Biden and thus abstain from voting in protest. Is the interaction so simple? Do RepubliKKKlans retreat to their corner, embracing the culture war to placate their hate, and do Democrats fear the state of the economy, thereby deterring electoral participation? It may seem counterintuitive to believe fear causes a revolt with Democratic voters. Whereas RepubliKKKlans act (e.g., vote) out of hate, Democrats appear to shut down in fear or perhaps “act” (e.g., not vote) out of fear by allowing the other side to take over running the government.