If it’s the first Tuesday following the first Monday in November, then it must be election day somewhere in America. I’m just going to give a blanket, contrarian prediction. Democrats will get routed across the board. I know. I know. Democrats have been typically overperforming since the end of Roe, but I think the momentum is fading. To be sure, specific measures to protect abortion rights on ballots will easily pass (e.g., Ohio), but ironically, those same politicians in red states who support restricting abortion rights will also win. I’ve said this countless times: If you put an abortion rights measure on the ballot next to a RepubliKKKlan candidate who opposes abortions, then you get idiot voters who elect both; if someone can have their cake and eat it too, then why wouldn’t they?
To be honest, I don’t trust Ohio RepubliKKKlans to implement a constitutional protection of abortion rights. If memory serves me correctly in researching this issue, a constitutional ballot measure that passes “automatically” becomes amended to the state constitution. That is to say, the legislature does not have to get involved; they do not have to vote to pass an amendment. The people voted and passed it, per se. But “automatically” does not mean “magically.” I do not trust a RepubliKKKlan-dominated legislature and governorship to actually put it into their constitution. There are technical steps that must be followed, such as the actual publishing of a changed constitution. One may be forgiven for believing that such a performance is conducted by a non-partisan bureaucratic possess. But is there any such thing as a non-partisan bureaucracy in a deeply red state where voters keep electing RepubliKKKlans to run the government? I don’t trust them. No one should. How many issues exist whereby RepubliKKKlans continue to ignore the will of the people, yet they keep getting re-elected? Gun control comes to mind as a primary example.
Then we have this interesting case in Virginia where a popular RepubliKKKlan Governor Youngkin and RepubliKKKlan candidates support a 15-week abortion ban as a “reasonable” compromise. Indeed! You know what follows a 15-week abortion ban? A 6-week ban. But whatever. Voters are easily duped. So, I have every bit of confidence that moronic voters will elect politicians who say they will pass a 15-week abortion ban, then only to have them turn around and pass a 6-week ban because that’s what RepubliKKKlans do. Right on cue they will have lied — to no one’s surprise — to win. Viginian RepubliKKKlans are out to flip the Senate, which the Democrats control by a few seats. If RepubliKKKlans can win the trifecta, then I promise you a 6-week ban will be passed instead. It’s a bait and switch. Oh, well. Voters get the government they deserve and desire.
The only exception in my predictions is the Kentucky governorship. Beshear will likely win re-election, for I highly doubt citizens of the state are going to elect a Black man as governor. Don’t be fooled by Kentucky’s “border state” status; it is as racist as the rest of the South. There is only so far a Black man in the South can rise in the political ranks. And a Black man calling the shots in Kentucky is a bridge too far for most racists. Just ask the other Black governor in a Southern state. (FYI — Maryland is not a Southern state.)