‘Will Russia make a military move against Ukraine? Follow these clues.’

Directly from the Atlantic Council, “For weeks, the eyes of the world have been on a Russian troop buildup near Ukraine, as Western officials struggle to decipher Russian President Vladimir Putin’s intent: beef up his attack on Ukrainian sovereignty, or bluff his way to key concessions? Amid a flurry of diplomatic talks, fiery rhetoric, and movements of heavy materiel, we wanted to separate the signal from the noise. So we reached out to our military fellows at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, who are active-duty officers with the US Army, Navy, Air Force, and Marine Corps, for a sense of what they’re tracking most closely—and what indicators we should all be monitoring to divine Putin’s intentions.” Four things to watch: (1) Pay attention to cyberattacks, military exercises, and evacuations of non-combatants; (2) Keep your eyes on Russia’s reserves; (3) Look out for sub-zero temperatures and medical prep; (4) Watch the waters around Odesa. Read the details at the link above.